Bayesian latent class estimation of sensitivity and specificity parameters of diagnostic tests for bovine tuberculosis in chronically infected herds in Northern Ireland
dc.contributor.author | Lahuerta-Marin, Angela | |
dc.contributor.author | Milne, Georgina | |
dc.contributor.author | McNair, James | |
dc.contributor.author | Skuce, Robin | |
dc.contributor.author | McBride, S.H. | |
dc.contributor.author | Menzies, F.D. | |
dc.contributor.author | McDowell, Stanley | |
dc.contributor.author | Byrne, A.W. | |
dc.contributor.author | Handel, I.G. | |
dc.contributor.author | Bronsvoort, B.M. de C. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-06-09T12:58:38Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-06-09T12:58:38Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2018-05-01 | |
dc.description | Publication history: Accepted - 26 April 2018; Published online - 1 May 2018. | en_US |
dc.description.abstract | In the European Union, the recommended ante-mortem diagnostic methods for bovine tuberculosis (bTB) include the single intradermal cervical comparative tuberculin (SICCT) test and the interferon-gamma (IFN- g) test as an ancillary test. The SICCT test has a moderate sensitivity (Se) and high specificity (Sp), while the IFN-g test has good Se, but a lower Sp than the SICCT test. A retrospective Bayesian latent class analysis was conducted on 71,185 cattle from 806 herds chronically infected with bTB distributed across Northern Ireland (NI) to estimate the Se and Sp of the common ante-mortem tests and meat inspection. Analyses were also performed on data stratified by farming type and herd location to explore possible differences in test performance given the heterogeneity in the population. The mean estimates in chronically infected herds were: (1) ‘standard’ SICCT: Se 40.5–57.7%, Sp 96.3–99.7%; (2) ‘severe’ SICCT: Se 49.0%–60.6%, Sp 94.4–99.4%; (3) IFN-g(bovine–avian) using a NI optical density (OD) cut-off difference of 0.05: IFN-g(B–A)NI: Se 85.8– 93.0%, Sp 75.6–96.2%; (4) IFN-g(bovine–avian) using a standard ‘commercial’ OD cut-off difference of 0.1: IFN-g(B–A)0.1: Se 83.1–92.1%, Sp 83.1–97.3%; and (5) meat inspection: Se 49.0–57.1% Se, Sp 99.1–100%. Se estimates were lower in cattle from dairy farms than from beef farms. There were no notable differences in estimates by location of herds. Certain population characteristics, such as production type, might influence the ability of bTB tests to disclose truly infected cases. | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | This study is part of a larger project on the evaluation of the performance characteristics of the test in chronic bTB herds in NI from 2004 to 2010. It was financed by DAERA (E&I grant code 11/ 03/10). | en_US |
dc.identifier | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12518/266 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Lahuerta-Marin, A., Milne, M. G., McNair, J., Skuce, R. A., McBride, S. H., Menzies, F. D., McDowell, S. J. W., Byrne, A. W., Handel, I. G. and de C. Bronsvoort, B. M. (2018) ‘Bayesian latent class estimation of sensitivity and specificity parameters of diagnostic tests for bovine tuberculosis in chronically infected herds in Northern Ireland’, The Veterinary Journal, 238, pp. 15–21. doi: 10.1016/j.tvjl.2018.04.019. | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 1090-0233 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tvjl.2018.04.019 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_US |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | en_US |
dc.rights | © 2018 The Author(s). Published by ElsevierLtd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). | en_US |
dc.subject | Bovine tuberculosis | en_US |
dc.subject | Bayesian latent class analysis | en_US |
dc.subject | Interferon-g test | en_US |
dc.subject | Sensitivity | en_US |
dc.subject | Specificity | en_US |
dc.subject | Single intradermal cervical comparative | en_US |
dc.subject | tuberculin test | en_US |
dc.title | Bayesian latent class estimation of sensitivity and specificity parameters of diagnostic tests for bovine tuberculosis in chronically infected herds in Northern Ireland | en_US |
dc.type | Article | en_US |
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